The customer sets up a 6-month USD fixed deposit on 2 March 20XX. During the deposit period, customer intends to make use the fluctuation of FX to capture extra potential return, he sets up FX forward contracts through Currency Switch as follows:
Time deposit details |
Principal |
USD100,000.00 |
Time Deposit Start Date |
Mar 2, 20XX |
Time Deposit Maturity Date |
Aug 31, 20XX |
No. of days |
182 days |
Interest Rate |
2% |
Principal & Interest on Maturity |
USD101,011.11 |
Currency Switch details |
FX Forward Contract enter Date |
Transaction details |
Forward Exchange Rate |
Maturity Date / Settlement Date |
Mar 20, 20XX |
Sell USD101,011.11 |
7.752450 |
Aug 31, 20XX |
Buy HKD783,083.58 |
Apr 20, 20XX |
Sell HKD783,083.58 |
5.934420 |
Aug 31, 20XX |
Buy AUD131,956.21 |
Jun 30, 20XX |
Sell AUD131,956.21 |
1.789626 |
Aug 31, 20XX |
Buy GBP73,733.96 |
Jul 15, 20XX |
Sell GBP73,733.96 |
1.131959 |
Aug 31, 20XX |
Buy EUR83,463.82 |
Return Analysis
|
Spot Rate on Deposit Maturity Date |
Value at Maturity Date |
Net gain / (loss) |
Rate of Return (Actual%) |
1. Best case scenario – Switched Currency spot rate strengthens against Forward Exchange Rate on maturity date |
EUR strengthens against USD |
1.222525 |
EUR83,463.82 (equivalent to USD102,036.61) |
USD1,025.50 |
1.02% |
2. Breakeven scenario – Switched Currency spot rate against Forward Exchange Rate remains unchanged on maturity date |
EUR against USD remains unchanged |
1.210238 |
EUR83,463.82 (equivalent to USD101,011.09) |
(USD 0.02) |
0.00% |
3. Losing scenario – Switched Currency spot rate weakens against Forward Exchange Rate on maturity date |
EUR weakens against USD |
1.198124 |
EUR83,463.82 (equivalent to USD100,000.00) |
(USD1,011.11) |
-1.00% Loss of interest of the time deposit |
4. Losing scenario – Switched Currency spot rate weakens against Forward Exchange Rate on maturity date |
EUR weakens against USD |
1.189898 |
EUR83,463.82 (equivalent to USD99,313.43) |
(USD1,697.68) |
-1.68% |
5. Worst case scenario – Switched Currency spot rate depreciates to zero on maturity date |
EUR depreciates to zero |
0.000000 (exchange rate down turning to zero) |
EUR83,463.82 (equivalent to HKD0.00) |
(USD101,011.11) |
Loss of entire Principal Amount plus interest of the time deposit |
6. Insolvency scenario – The Bank defaults |
If the Bank becomes insolvent or goes into liquidation, you may lose the entire Principal Amount plus interest of the time deposit. |
Remarks:
i) The interest of USD is calculated on the basis of 360 days per year.
ii) Net gain / (loss) will only be realized if customer switched the amount back to time deposit currency on Deposit Maturity Date.